by Calculated Risk on 11/04/2021 03:30:00 PM
AgoGoalPercent fully Vaccinated58.1%57.6%>=70.0%1Fully Vaccinated (millions)192.9191.2>=2321New Cases per Day370,43171,450<=5,0002Hospitalized341,85045,892<=3,0002Deaths per Day31,1091,216<=5021 Minimum to achieve “herd immunity” (estimated between 70% and 85%).
2my goals to stop daily posts,
37 day average for Cases, Currently Hospitalized, and Deaths
? Increasing 7 day average week-over-week for Cases, Hospitalized, and Deaths
? Goal met.
IMPORTANT: For “herd immunity” most experts believe we need 70% to 85% of the total population fully vaccinated (or already had COVID). Note: COVID will probably stay endemic (at least for some time).
The following 20 states have between 50% and 59.9% fully vaccinated: Hawaii at 59.9%, Florida, Wisconsin, Nebraska, Iowa, Illinois, Michigan, Kentucky, South Dakota, Texas, Arizona, Kansas, Nevada, Alaska, Utah, North Carolina, Ohio, Montana, Oklahoma, and South Carolina at 50.1%.
Next up (total population, fully vaccinated according to CDC) are Indiana at 49.9%, Missouri at 49.9%, Georgia at 48.4%, and Arkansas at 48.1%.
Click on graph for larger image.
This graph shows the daily (columns) and 7 day average (line) of positive tests reported.